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Books or toys?

Raising children is perhaps the most rewarding activity. Yet, it’s also very time consuming. Although there aren’t good substitutes for parental time, there are good complements: Two of the most obvious and traditional are books and toys.

We can’t expect FRED to provide the relative values of buying books or toys for your children, but FRED can inform us about the relative costs. The graph shows the U.S. consumer price indexes for books and for toys. It is interesting (and clear) that they have behaved diametrically differently over time. To better appreciate these differences, we use the left axis for the price of books and the right axis for the price of toys. Both series are normalized so they are both equal to 100 in December 1979, which allows us to compare the relative price changes.

There were some differences in earlier years, but the key point of departure is December 1996. The cost of a toy today is only one third of the cost in December 1996, and the cost of a book today is almost three times the cost in December 1996. Roughly speaking, in terms of toys, books cost nine times more today than 20 years ago.

How to create this graph: FRED allows you to use keywords to search for time series. Use “consumer price toys usa” and select “Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Toys” (series ID CUSR0000SERE01). Then use “consumer price books usa” and select “Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Educational Books and Supplies” (series ID CUSR0000SEEA). For both series, under the “Units” menu, select “Index (Scale value to 100 for chosen period”) and choose the observation date 1979-12-01. Finally, for the price of toys, select the right axis.

Suggested by Alexander Monge-Naranjo and his 9-year old son, Gabriel Monge

View on FRED, series used in this post: CUSR0000SEEA, CUSR0000SERE01

The evolution of employment costs in the private and public sectors

A couple of months ago, FRED added Bureau of Labor Statistics data on the costs of employment. You can dissect these data in many ways—for example, by sector, type of compensation, bargaining status, occupational group, or region. Here we do a high-level comparison of compensation between the public and private sectors. These data are available as indexes, which means they reveal something about their relative evolutions over time, but nothing about their relative levels at any moment in time. The graph above tells us that wages and salaries have increased faster in the private sector. But, as both series are normalized to 100 in 2007, we can’t say whether wages had been better in the public sector and the private sector is just now catching up.

Of course, wages and salaries are only part of compensation. There are also various benefits. Some of these are difficult to quantify (pension benefits, for example, are realized only at some point in the future), but the BLS makes the effort to quantify all this. The private/public sector comparison of benefits in the graph below shows more growth in the public sector. Again, this graph says nothing about the levels. However, the two graphs in combination do tell us something: Relatively speaking, compensation in the public sector is increasingly in the form of benefits, while compensation in the private sector is increasingly in the form of wages and salaries.

How this graph was created: Search among the release tables for the Employment Cost Index and explore the data. The two graphs were created by selecting the appropriate series from Tables 1 and 3.

Suggested by Christian Zimmermann

View on FRED, series used in this post: ECIBEN, ECIGVTBEN, ECIGVTWAG, ECIWAG

Turkey price inflation

It is the season when the media add a dash of economics to the local custom of turkey dinners by reporting on the price of turkeys. At the FRED Blog, we will deviate slightly from this tradition by reporting on prices in Turkey. FRED has lots of Turkish data. At the time of this writing, in fact, there were 1,981 series. One of the most popular is the consumer price index, displayed above. As FRED graphs go, this one is rather uninformative. The data are flattened into the zero line for most years. This is likely because the data in the latter years have much larger values than the early ones. Once you look at yearly inflation (below), this is confirmed: The country experienced very high inflation rates for a very long time, leading the price index to grow very fast. The regime change in 2007, clearly visible with the inflation data below, is interesting and coincides with Turkey’s adoption of an explicit inflation target in 2006. While inflation is still high by international standards, it’s not as wild and doesn’t gobble up people’s savings.

How these graphs were created: Search for the Turkey tag, and the consumer price index should be among the top choices. For the second graph, change units to “Percent Change from Year Ago.”

Suggested by Christian Zimmermann

View on FRED, series used in this post: TURCPIALLMINMEI


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