Federal Reserve Economic Data

The FRED® Blog

Regulatory capital

The United States and several other countries are members of the Basel Committee, a global initiative to help regulate banks and address regulators’ concerns about the way banks hold capital. In fact, the committee has published specific standards for capital requirements for member countries to implement.

Traditionally, banks have reduced the capital they’re required to hold by taking advantage of the lack of risk restrictions assigned to government bonds. But countries such as Greece have shown that government bonds do have some risk attached to them, so regulators hope to change this practice.

We can track relevant changes by looking at data in FRED: specifically, the IMF’s calculation of the ratios of regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets for several countries, which are part of their set of financial soundness indicators.

The data show similar trends in the United States and euro area: The recent recession, which underscored the risk associated with billions of dollars of bank assets, caused a large spike in the amount of capital that banks were holding. However, this amount has declined sharply in the recovery period. Interestingly, the ratios of regulatory capital actually seemed to decrease during the 2001 recession—which points to differences in the nature of the two recessions.

How this graph was created: Search for “Regulatory Capital to Risk-Weighted Assets for United States” and change the units to “Percent, Change, Percent.” Click on “add data series” and add “Regulatory Capital to Risk-Weighted Assets for Euro Area.”

Suggested by Abhinav Chhabra

View on FRED, series used in this post: DDSI05EZA156NWDB, DDSI05USA156NWDB

Economic policy uncertainty

How clear is the public’s understanding of economic policy and its likely outcomes? FRED includes a data series that seeks to answer this question: In a recent paper, Scott Baker, Nicholas Bloom, and Steven Davis developed an index that estimates the level of uncertainty about economic policy by accounting for newspaper references to uncertainty, tax codes, and disagreement among forecasters.

The authors refer to spikes in the index that occurred during important events such as “tight presidential elections, Gulf Wars I and II, the 9/11 attack, and other major shocks.” More-recent events include the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, the euro crisis, and the debt-ceiling deadlock.

The Federal Reserve has been making an effort to reduce uncertainty by increasing clarity and transparency with respect to its policies. As noted in a previous blog post, FRED also allows you to track the projections made by FOMC members. (Read full-text FOMC statements back to 2009 on the Board’s website.)

How this graph was created: Search for “Economic Policy Uncertainty Index” and change the frequency to “Weekly, Ending Friday.”

Suggested by Abhinav Chhabra

View on FRED, series used in this post: USEPUINDXD

Economic volatility in emerging economies

By definition, “emerging” economies are in transition from “developing” status to “developed” status, which is generally a bumpy road that may involve more-frequent crises and stronger economic fluctuations. One way to visualize this transition in FRED is to graph per capita GDP growth rates for the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China) and compare them with the rate for the U.S. (thick black line). While it is usually better to show fewer series on one graph, the idea here is simply to illustrate that these economies bounce around much more than the U.S. economy does. The U.S. rate is never the highest. On the rare occasions when it is the lowest, it is only barely so—with 2007 being the exception.

How this graph was created: Search for “Constant GDP per capita” for the various countries and add the series to the graph. Transform each series to “Percentage change” and emphasize the line for the U.S. so it stands out (in this case, it is thicker and black).

Suggested by Christian Zimmermann

View on FRED, series used in this post: NYGDPPCAPKDBRA, NYGDPPCAPKDCHN, NYGDPPCAPKDIND, NYGDPPCAPKDRUS, NYGDPPCAPKDUSA


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