Federal Reserve Economic Data

The FRED® Blog

The rising share of student loan debt

Home mortgages are households’ largest source of debt. And since 2010, student loans have been their second-largest source of debt.

The FRED Blog has discussed student loan and household debt before, in relation to overall economic activity. Today, we compare student loan debt with three other categories of consumer credit:

  • Revolving consumer credit, mostly credit card debt (blue area)
  • Automobile loans (green area)
  • Student loans (orange area)
  • Other, non-revolving consumer credit (purple area)

The FRED graph above shows quarterly data on each category from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. The units are in millions of dollars, but are presented in stacked areas to easily show each category as a percentage of the entire pool of consumer credit.

Data on student loans, as a standalone category of consumer credit, has been reported only since 2006, so we can’t observe the rollout of the Federal Direct Student Loan Program in 1994. But the growing share of student loans, as a fraction of overall consumer credit, is easy to see: It’s risen from 20.6% in 2006 to 35.6% in 2024. Learn even more here.

How this graph was created: Search the alphabetical list of FRED releases for “Z.1 Financial Accounts of the United States” and select “Quarterly: L.222 Consumer Credit.” Select the four series listed under the heading “Memo” naming the types of consumer loans and click “Add to Graph.” Use the “Format” tab to change the graph type to “Area” and the stacking option to “Percent.”

Suggested by Diego Mendez-Carbajo.

The home purchase sentiment index

FRED has data on an array of consumer expectations, confidence, and sentiment that can potentially yield information about future economic conditions.

FRED recently added the home purchase sentiment index (HPSI) to that collection of data. Reported by Fannie Mae, the HPSI is a composite index designed to track consumers’ housing-related attitudes based on six questions from the National Housing Survey:

  • Is it a good time to buy or sell a house?
  • Will home prices and mortgage interest rates rise, fall, or stay put?
  • How concerned are you about losing your job?
  • How does your current income compare with last year’s?

The index has a value of 60 in March 2011, its reference period. Its March 2025 value (latest available at the time of this writing) is 68.1, with a high of 93.8 in August 2019 and a low of 56.7 in October 2022.

The FRED graph above shows the HPSI (solid blue line) along with the University of Michigan’s overall consumer sentiment index (dashed green line). Between March 2011 and March 2025, these indexes have broadly moved hand in hand. That may not be surprising because overall consumer sentiment encompasses home purchase sentiment.

But, since 2020, changes to housing market conditions affecting the financial burden of households may have driven these sentiments apart. For example, some estrangement is visible from mid 2021 to mid 2022, with a wider gap between the two lines.

To learn even more about the HPSI, see this Economic Letter published by the San Francisco Fed.

How this graph was created: Search FRED for and select “Fannie Mae’s National Housing Survey: Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI).” From the “Edit Graph” panel, use the “Add Line” tab to search for and select “University of Michigan: Consumer Sentiment.” Make sure to click “Add data series.” Change its units to be 100 on 2011-03-01 and apply the formula (a/100)*60 so that it has the same reference period and base value as the HPSI.

Suggested by Diego Mendez-Carbajo.

State and metro employment: First quarter 2025

On April 18, 2025, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the first quarter data for total nonfarm employees at the state and metro levels. At the state level, Texas led all states, adding 74,100 jobs in the first quarter. California had the largest decline, losing 54,800 jobs.

The FRED map above shows the change in employment in each state during the first quarter. If you sum up the individual states, you’ll see a net gain of 301,600 jobs. This is different from the reported number for the nation, which was 456,000 as of April 29. This difference is because the state level has different sampling and tends to have a larger margin of error than the national number.

At the metro level, the Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington MSA led the nation with 18,700 jobs added in the first quarter. The Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim MSA had the largest decline, losing 25,200 jobs in the first quarter. These numbers tend to vary greatly from quarter to quarter, with even greater sampling errors than the errors at the state and national levels. So, take these numbers with a grain of salt.

NOTE: These data are subject to future revision by the source, with an annual revision the following March. Our ALFRED database records vintages of the data, so users can view the data as they appeared at various points in history. The link takes you to employment for Missouri, as of April 18, 2025.

How these maps were created: Search FRED for “total nonfarm employees in Missouri” (or any other state). Click “View Map” and then “Edit Map.” Change the units to “Change, Thousands of Persons” and the frequency to quarterly with aggregation method “End of Period.” Under “Format,” select “User Defined Method” for how to group the data: Switch the number of color groups to 3 and change the colors to red for states that shed jobs (or a value less than or equal to 0), light green for states with modest job growth (or less than 10), and dark green for states with strong growth (or a value large enough to incorporate the rest of the states). For the second map, repeat the process with an MSA—St. Louis, for example.

Suggested by Jack Fuller and Charles Gascon.



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